Pareto Securities

Hit rate (12 months)

53.9 %

the price reached the target within 12 months

Direction accuracy

46.6 %

the stock moved in the direction the target implied

Median error

30.3 %

median deviation from the 12-month outcome

Evaluable targets

1385

targets at least 12 months old

Each published price target is measured against the share price over the following 12 months. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method

Development over time

Hit rate per year

53.7 %

2021188 price targets

41.7 %

2022240 price targets

63.4 %

2023290 price targets

59.9 %

2024274 price targets

50.4 %

2025*393 price targets

* partial year: only targets at least 12 months old are counted

Bias per year

+2.9 %2021136 price targets

+4.0 %2022187 price targets

+2.2 %2023234 price targets

+3.4 %2024233 price targets

+4.2 %2025476 price targets

±0.0 %2026459 price targets

years with fewer than 30 targets are shown without a figure Read about the method

Sector strengthhit rate by sector · the line marks the house average 53.9 %

Basic Materials

89.1 %+35n=64

Financial Services

58.7 %+5n=109

Real Estate

58.4 %+5n=178

Healthcare

53.6 %±0n=194

Consumer Cyclical

52.6 %−1n=196

Consumer Defensive

52.2 %−2n=46

Technology

51.1 %−3n=94

Industrials

48.7 %−5n=355

Communication Services

44.2 %−10n=77

only sectors with at least 30 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Where does Pareto Securities hit?

Hufvudstaden100 % · 9 of 9 hit
SCA100 % · 9 of 9 hit
Billerud100 % · 5 of 5 hit
Leovegas100 % · 5 of 5 hit
Nordnet100 % · 5 of 5 hit

Where does Pareto Securities miss?

Ratos0 % · 0 of 13 hit
Hexagon0 % · 0 of 8 hit
Vitec0 % · 0 of 6 hit
Expres2ion Biotech0 % · 0 of 5 hit
Paradox0 % · 0 of 5 hit

stocks with at least 5 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Bias: optimistic or conservative?

In line ±0.0 %

Targets are in line with other houses' targets for the same stock (n=601, last 12 months).

−10 %
Conservative±2 %
In line+10 %
Optimistic

The comparison uses each other house's latest target within 30 days. Houses scoring high have historically reached their upward targets less often. Read about the method

Evaluated price targets

targets at least 12 months old · newest first

Clas Ohlson 2025-09-11 · 340 SEK ↓

Hit after 54 days
HMS Networks 2025-09-10 · 468 SEK ↑

Hit after 41 days
Hexagon 2025-09-08 · 130 SEK ↑

Missed
Lifco 2025-09-03 · 350 SEK ↑

Hit after 51 days
Coor 2025-09-01 · 56 SEK ↑

Hit after 161 days
Nordrest 2025-08-29 · 250 SEK ↑

Hit after 87 days
Lundbergs 2025-08-29 · 524 SEK ↑

Hit after 139 days
Hafnia 2025-08-28 · 70 NOK ↑

Hit after 186 days
MPC Container Ships 2025-08-27 · 15 NOK ↓

Missed
Bakkafrost 2025-08-27 · 480 NOK ↑

Hit after 19 days
Webrock 2025-08-27 · 9 SEK ↑

Missed
Qliro 2025-08-27 · 25 SEK ↑

Missed
Qleanair 2025-08-27 · 28 SEK ↑

Hit after 239 days
Gentoo Media 2025-08-27 · 10 SEK ↑

Missed
Nibe 2025-08-25 · 51 SEK ↑

Missed
Sats Group 2025-08-22 · 42 NOK ↑

Hit after 172 days
Salmar 2025-08-22 · 550 NOK ↑

Hit after 21 days
Klaveness Combination Carriers 2025-08-22 · 85 NOK ↑

Hit after 158 days
Kid 2025-08-22 · 155 NOK ↑

Missed
Hafnia 2025-08-22 · 68 NOK ↑

Hit after 186 days

Show more (40)

Surgical Science 2025-08-22 · 155 SEK ↑

Missed
Hufvudstaden 2025-08-22 · 130 SEK ↑

Hit after 24 days
Cheffelo 2025-08-21 · 63 SEK ↑

Hit after 34 days
Odfjell Drilling 2025-08-20 · 100 NOK ↑

Hit after 180 days
Verve 2025-08-20 · 40 SEK ↑

Missed
Latour 2025-08-20 · 270 SEK ↑

Missed
Bahnhof 2025-08-20 · 70 SEK ↑

Missed
Torm 2025-08-19 · 135 DKK ↑

Hit after 9 days
BW LPG 2025-08-19 · 174 NOK ↑

Hit after 195 days
Salmar 2025-08-18 · 530 NOK ↑

Hit after 23 days
Mowi 2025-08-18 · 220 NOK ↑

Hit after 53 days
Grieg Seafood 2025-08-18 · 73 NOK ↑

Hit after 59 days
Elopak 2025-08-18 · 54 NOK ↑

Missed
Bakkafrost 2025-08-18 · 470 NOK ↑

Hit after 28 days
Pexip 2025-08-15 · 80 NOK ↑

Hit after 263 days
Hexagon Composites 2025-08-15 · 25 NOK ↑

Missed
Autostore 2025-08-15 · 12 NOK ↑

Hit after 140 days
Yubico 2025-08-15 · 130 SEK ↓

Hit after 20 days
Embracer 2025-08-15 · 140 SEK ↑

Missed
Nordic Semiconductor 2025-08-14 · 190 NOK ↑

Hit after 263 days
Lundin Gold 2025-08-14 · 500 SEK ↓

Missed
Wallenius Wilhelmsen 2025-08-13 · 118 NOK ↑

Hit after 184 days
Qleanair 2025-08-13 · 24 SEK ↑

Hit after 14 days
Xbrane Biopharma 2025-08-12 · 0.8 SEK ↑

Hit after 65 days
Nibe 2025-08-12 · 48 SEK ↑

Missed
Lundin Mining 2025-08-12 · 150 SEK ↑

Hit after 78 days
Surgical Science 2025-08-11 · 160 SEK ↑

Missed
Paradox 2025-08-08 · 225 SEK ↑

Missed
W5 Solutions 2025-08-06 · 75 SEK ↑

Missed
Lundin Mining 2025-08-01 · 145 SEK ↑

Hit after 73 days
Nordic Semiconductor 2025-07-31 · 167 NOK ↑

Hit after 15 days
Securitas 2025-07-31 · 190 SEK ↑

Missed
Lundin Gold 2025-07-31 · 443 SEK ↓

Missed
Storytel 2025-07-30 · 160 SEK ↑

Missed
Surgical Science 2025-07-29 · 190 SEK ↑

Missed
Traton 2025-07-28 · 320 SEK ↓

Hit after 59 days
Subsea 7 2025-07-25 · 210 NOK ↑

Hit after 32 days
Equinor 2025-07-25 · 270 NOK ↑

Hit after 209 days
Zaptec 2025-07-25 · 27 NOK ↑

Hit after 31 days
Mentice 2025-07-25 · 15 SEK ↑

Hit after 3 days

See all 1,385 evaluated targets since 2021

The arrow shows the target's direction. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method