HSBC

Hit rate (12 months)

56 %

the price reached the target within 12 months

Direction accuracy

50 %

the stock moved in the direction the target implied

Median error

21.5 %

median deviation from the 12-month outcome

Evaluable targets

184

targets at least 12 months old

Each published price target is measured against the share price over the following 12 months. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method

Development over time

Hit rate per year

–

202127 price targets

48.1 %

202252 price targets

68.6 %

202335 price targets

61.5 %

202439 price targets

67.7 %

2025*31 price targets

* partial year: only targets at least 12 months old are counted

Bias per year

–202127 price targets

±0.0 %202256 price targets

−0.7 %202337 price targets

+0.2 %202444 price targets

−2.2 %202556 price targets

–202623 price targets

years with fewer than 30 targets are shown without a figure Read about the method

Sector strengthhit rate by sector · the line marks the house average 56 %

Industrials

54.1 %−2n=61

Communication Services

40 %−16n=30

only sectors with at least 30 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Where does HSBC hit?

Swedbank88.9 % · 8 of 9 hit
Assa Abloy84.6 % · 11 of 13 hit
Volvo Cars72.7 % · 8 of 11 hit
SEB66.7 % · 6 of 9 hit
SAS66.7 % · 4 of 6 hit

Where does HSBC miss?

Sandvik20 % · 2 of 10 hit
Stillfront28.6 % · 2 of 7 hit
Tele233.3 % · 2 of 6 hit
H&M38.5 % · 5 of 13 hit
Embracer40 % · 2 of 5 hit

stocks with at least 5 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Bias: optimistic or conservative?

Conservative −2.2 %

Targets sit at a median of 2.2 % below other houses' targets for the same stock (n=36, last 12 months).

−10 %
Conservative±2 %
In line+10 %
Optimistic

The comparison uses each other house's latest target within 30 days. Houses scoring high have historically reached their upward targets less often. Read about the method

Evaluated price targets

targets at least 12 months old · newest first

Vestas 2025-09-05 · 155 DKK ↑

Hit after 67 days
Pandora 2025-08-28 · 1030 DKK ↑

Missed
Ørsted 2025-08-15 · 215 DKK ↑

Missed
Novo Nordisk 2025-08-08 · 355 DKK ↑

Hit after 13 days
A.P 2025-08-08 · 16000 DKK ↑

Hit after 157 days
Novo Nordisk 2025-08-07 · 340 DKK ↑

Hit after 11 days
DSV 2025-08-01 · 1800 DKK ↑

Hit after 187 days
Novo Nordisk 2025-07-31 · 360 DKK ↑

Hit after 22 days
Equinor 2025-07-24 · 275 NOK ↑

Hit after 210 days
Pandora 2025-07-07 · 1250 DKK ↑

Missed
DSV 2025-07-02 · 1850 DKK ↑

Hit after 217 days
Essity 2025-04-30 · 330 SEK ↑

Missed
Telia 2025-04-28 · 33.5 SEK ↓

Hit after 73 days
Sobi 2025-04-28 · 340 SEK ↑

Hit after 198 days
Volvo Cars 2025-04-11 · 18 SEK ↑

Hit after 12 days
Swedbank 2025-04-04 · 230 SEK ↑

Hit after 25 days
SEB 2025-04-04 · 170 SEK ↑

Hit after 110 days
Handelsbanken 2025-04-04 · 115 SEK ↑

Hit after 21 days
Essity 2025-03-26 · 340 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo 2025-03-11 · 370 SEK ↑

Missed

Show more (40)

Sandvik 2025-03-11 · 275 SEK ↑

Hit after 223 days
SKF 2025-03-11 · 275 SEK ↑

Missed
Hexagon 2025-03-11 · 120 SEK ↑

Hit after 227 days
Assa Abloy 2025-03-11 · 400 SEK ↑

Missed
H&M 2025-03-05 · 145 SEK ↑

Hit after 5 days
Volvo Cars 2025-02-13 · 22 SEK ↓

Hit after 19 days
Autoliv 2025-02-04 · 927.09 SEK ↓

Hit after 36 days
Millicom 2025-01-22 · 380 SEK ↑

Missed
Swedbank 2025-01-21 · 285 SEK ↑

Hit after 253 days
SEB 2025-01-21 · 175 SEK ↑

Hit after 41 days
Handelsbanken 2025-01-21 · 145 SEK ↑

Missed
Telia 2024-10-28 · 31 SEK ↓

Hit after 3 days
Handelsbanken 2024-10-15 · 125 SEK ↑

Hit after 115 days
Telia 2024-10-03 · 31.5 SEK ↓

Hit after 19 days
SKF 2024-09-13 · 190 SEK ↑

Hit after 4 days
Hexagon 2024-09-13 · 110 SEK ↑

Hit after 14 days
Assa Abloy 2024-09-13 · 375 SEK ↑

Missed
Alfa Laval 2024-09-13 · 490 SEK ↑

Hit after 19 days
Volvo 2024-08-30 · 340 SEK ↑

Hit after 180 days
Volvo Cars 2024-08-23 · 40 SEK ↑

Missed
H&M 2024-08-14 · 180 SEK ↑

Hit after 40 days
Essity 2024-07-22 · 340 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo Cars 2024-07-09 · 45 SEK ↑

Missed
Swedbank 2024-07-09 · 222 SEK ↑

Hit after 13 days
SEB 2024-07-09 · 180 SEK ↑

Missed
Handelsbanken 2024-07-09 · 120 SEK ↑

Hit after 190 days
H&M 2024-07-04 · 200 SEK ↑

Missed
Telia 2024-06-24 · 25 SEK ↓

Missed
Tele2 2024-06-24 · 95 SEK ↓

Missed
Essity 2024-06-14 · 320 SEK ↑

Hit after 87 days
Astra Zeneca 2024-06-05 · 1876.14 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo 2024-05-24 · 310 SEK ↑

Hit after 251 days
Sandvik 2024-05-24 · 265 SEK ↑

Missed
SKF 2024-05-24 · 215 SEK ↓

Hit after 20 days
Assa Abloy 2024-05-24 · 345 SEK ↑

Hit after 194 days
Alfa Laval 2024-05-24 · 465 SEK ↓

Hit after 21 days
Handelsbanken 2024-05-10 · 105 SEK ↑

Hit after 68 days
Essity 2024-05-02 · 330 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo Cars 2024-04-25 · 48 SEK ↑

Missed
Millicom 2024-02-28 · 230 SEK ↑

Hit after 65 days

See all 184 evaluated targets since 2021

The arrow shows the target's direction. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method