Exane BNP Paribas

Hit rate (12 months)

61.3 %

the price reached the target within 12 months

Direction accuracy

62 %

the stock moved in the direction the target implied

Median error

17.8 %

median deviation from the 12-month outcome

Evaluable targets

326

targets at least 12 months old

Each published price target is measured against the share price over the following 12 months. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method

Development over time

Hit rate per year

–

202122 price targets

68.1 %

202272 price targets

50 %

202380 price targets

51.5 %

202468 price targets

70.2 %

2025*84 price targets

* partial year: only targets at least 12 months old are counted

Bias per year

–202120 price targets

−0.3 %202277 price targets

−1.6 %202380 price targets

−2.4 %202470 price targets

−3.3 %2025167 price targets

−6.1 %2026160 price targets

years with fewer than 30 targets are shown without a figure Read about the method

Sector strengthhit rate by sector · the line marks the house average 61.3 %

Industrials

73 %+12n=74

Consumer Cyclical

68.5 %+7n=54

Basic Materials

60 %−1n=40

Communication Services

55.6 %−6n=36

Financial Services

53 %−8n=83

only sectors with at least 30 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Where does Exane BNP Paribas hit?

Boliden92.9 % · 13 of 14 hit
Assa Abloy90 % · 9 of 10 hit
Volvo90 % · 9 of 10 hit
Evolution85.7 % · 6 of 7 hit
Storskogen80 % · 4 of 5 hit

Where does Exane BNP Paribas miss?

Nordnet12.5 % · 1 of 8 hit
EQT25 % · 3 of 12 hit
SCA30.8 % · 4 of 13 hit
Essity33.3 % · 3 of 9 hit
Embracer37.5 % · 3 of 8 hit

stocks with at least 5 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Bias: optimistic or conservative?

Conservative −7.0 %

Targets sit at a median of 7.0 % below other houses' targets for the same stock (n=218, last 12 months).

−10 %
Conservative±2 %
In line+10 %
Optimistic

The comparison uses each other house's latest target within 30 days. Houses scoring high have historically reached their upward targets less often. Read about the method

Evaluated price targets

targets at least 12 months old · newest first

Norsk Hydro 2025-09-15 · 62 NOK ↓

Missed
Boliden 2025-09-15 · 270 SEK ↓

Missed
Carlsberg 2025-09-10 · 850 DKK ↑

Hit after 126 days
Danske Bank 2025-09-08 · 268 DKK ↑

Hit after 7 days
Swedbank 2025-09-08 · 278 SEK ↑

Hit after 11 days
SEB 2025-09-08 · 181 SEK ↑

Hit after 7 days
Atlas Copco 2025-09-04 · 175 SEK ↑

Hit after 125 days
Nokia 2025-09-03 · 4.3 EUR ↑

Hit after 35 days
Rockwool 2025-08-28 · 335 DKK ↑

Missed
Lundbeck 2025-08-28 · 39.5 DKK ↓

Hit after 160 days
Novonesis 2025-08-22 · 380 DKK ↓

Hit after 35 days
GN Store Nord 2025-08-22 · 150 DKK ↑

Missed
Demant 2025-08-22 · 300 DKK ↑

Missed
Nordnet 2025-08-20 · 230 SEK ↓

Missed
Pandora 2025-08-18 · 1330 DKK ↑

Missed
Carlsberg 2025-08-15 · 840 DKK ↑

Hit after 146 days
Novo Nordisk 2025-08-13 · 345 DKK ↑

Hit after 5 days
Neste 2025-08-07 · 17 EUR ↑

Hit after 40 days
Kalmar 2025-07-28 · 38 EUR ↓

Hit after 50 days
Hexagon 2025-07-28 · 115 SEK ↑

Hit after 53 days

Show more (40)

Volvo Cars 2025-07-21 · 16 SEK ↓

Missed
Tele2 2025-07-18 · 160 SEK ↑

Hit after 11 days
Evolution 2025-07-18 · 700 SEK ↓

Hit after 97 days
Essity 2025-07-18 · 320 SEK ↑

Missed
Assa Abloy 2025-07-18 · 355 SEK ↑

Hit after 95 days
Sandvik 2025-07-17 · 260 SEK ↑

Hit after 68 days
Axfood 2025-07-14 · 275 SEK ↓

Hit after 101 days
Alimak 2025-07-14 · 145 SEK ↓

Hit after 106 days
Sandvik 2025-07-08 · 240 SEK ↑

Hit after 15 days
Hexagon 2025-07-07 · 104 SEK ↑

Hit after 16 days
DSV 2025-07-03 · 1800 DKK ↑

Hit after 216 days
A.P 2025-07-03 · 11900 DKK ↓

Hit after 1 days
Danske Bank 2025-07-02 · 258 DKK ↑

Hit after 1 days
Swedbank 2025-07-02 · 271 SEK ↑

Hit after 42 days
SEB 2025-07-02 · 174 SEK ↑

Hit after 36 days
Handelsbanken 2025-07-02 · 120 SEK ↓

Hit after 14 days
Lundbeck 2025-07-01 · 38 DKK ↑

Hit after 44 days
Volvo 2025-07-01 · 255 SEK ↓

Hit after 108 days
Sobi 2025-07-01 · 275 SEK ↓

Hit after 16 days
Tryg 2025-06-27 · 169 DKK ↑

Hit after 54 days
Volvo 2025-06-27 · 260 SEK ↓

Hit after 21 days
SCA 2025-06-25 · 97 SEK ↓

Missed
Demant 2025-06-19 · 325 DKK ↑

Missed
Hemnet 2025-06-18 · 290 SEK ↑

Hit after 30 days
Demant 2025-06-11 · 315 DKK ↑

Missed
Essity 2025-06-10 · 325 SEK ↑

Missed
Tryg 2025-06-02 · 166 DKK ↓

Hit after 9 days
SCA 2025-05-30 · 104 SEK ↓

Hit after 332 days
SEB 2025-05-23 · 173 SEK ↑

Hit after 68 days
Handelsbanken 2025-05-23 · 119 SEK ↓

Hit after 54 days
Tele2 2025-05-14 · 145 SEK ↑

Hit after 7 days
Autoliv 2025-05-09 · 1193.7 SEK ↑

Hit after 81 days
SKF 2025-05-06 · 220 SEK ↑

Hit after 64 days
Assa Abloy 2025-05-06 · 340 SEK ↑

Hit after 108 days
Alfa Laval 2025-05-06 · 370 SEK ↓

Missed
SSAB 2025-05-05 · 80 SEK ↑

Hit after 282 days
Hexagon 2025-05-02 · 95 SEK ↑

Hit after 10 days
Nordnet 2025-04-29 · 220 SEK ↓

Missed
Axfood 2025-04-25 · 240 SEK ↓

Missed
EQT 2025-04-23 · 380 SEK ↑

Missed

See all 328 evaluated targets since 2021

The arrow shows the target's direction. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method