Bernstein

Hit rate (12 months)

43.6 %

the price reached the target within 12 months

Direction accuracy

42.7 %

the stock moved in the direction the target implied

Median error

26.7 %

median deviation from the 12-month outcome

Evaluable targets

117

targets at least 12 months old

Each published price target is measured against the share price over the following 12 months. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method

Development over time

Hit rate per year

–

202111 price targets

–

202229 price targets

–

202321 price targets

–

202422 price targets

47.1 %

2025*34 price targets

* partial year: only targets at least 12 months old are counted

Bias per year

–202111 price targets

+1.2 %202231 price targets

–202324 price targets

–202427 price targets

−1.0 %202567 price targets

−4.4 %202641 price targets

years with fewer than 30 targets are shown without a figure Read about the method

Where does Bernstein hit?

Boliden86.4 % · 19 of 22 hit
Sandvik63.6 % · 7 of 11 hit
Volvo Cars63.6 % · 7 of 11 hit
Elekta50 % · 4 of 8 hit
Assa Abloy23.1 % · 3 of 13 hit

Where does Bernstein miss?

Embracer0 % · 0 of 12 hit
Hexagon0 % · 0 of 9 hit
H&M16.7 % · 1 of 6 hit
Assa Abloy23.1 % · 3 of 13 hit
Elekta50 % · 4 of 8 hit

stocks with at least 5 evaluated targets are shown Read about the method

Bias: optimistic or conservative?

Conservative −3.4 %

Targets sit at a median of 3.4 % below other houses' targets for the same stock (n=60, last 12 months).

−10 %
Conservative±2 %
In line+10 %
Optimistic

The comparison uses each other house's latest target within 30 days. Houses scoring high have historically reached their upward targets less often. Read about the method

Evaluated price targets

targets at least 12 months old · newest first

Coloplast 2025-09-11 · 760 DKK ↑

Missed
Genmab 2025-09-08 · 1015 DKK ↓

Missed
Rockwool 2025-09-05 · 305 DKK ↑

Missed
Ørsted 2025-09-04 · 220 DKK ↑

Missed
Coloplast 2025-08-29 · 790 DKK ↑

Missed
GN Store Nord 2025-08-25 · 88 DKK ↓

Hit after 199 days
Demant 2025-08-14 · 320 DKK ↑

Missed
H&M 2025-08-14 · 100 SEK ↓

Missed
A.P 2025-08-08 · 10600 DKK ↓

Missed
Astra Zeneca 2025-08-04 · 2312.55 SEK ↑

Missed
Assa Abloy 2025-07-25 · 407 SEK ↑

Missed
Boliden 2025-07-24 · 313 SEK ↓

Hit after 4 days
Sandvik 2025-07-23 · 236 SEK ↓

Hit after 9 days
Epiroc 2025-07-23 · 194 SEK ↓

Hit after 22 days
Carlsberg 2025-07-03 · 1260 DKK ↑

Missed
Tele2 2025-06-27 · 150 SEK ↑

Hit after 25 days
Getinge 2025-06-17 · 228 SEK ↑

Missed
Ørsted 2025-06-13 · 375 DKK ↑

Missed
Atlas Copco 2025-06-13 · 170 SEK ↑

Hit after 112 days
Elekta 2025-06-04 · 55 SEK ↑

Hit after 175 days

Show more (40)

Hexagon 2025-05-16 · 145 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo Cars 2025-04-30 · 19 SEK ↑

Hit after 12 days
Sandvik 2025-04-28 · 227 SEK ↑

Hit after 73 days
Assa Abloy 2025-04-28 · 410 SEK ↑

Missed
Volvo 2025-04-24 · 240 SEK ↓

Missed
Boliden 2025-04-17 · 343 SEK ↑

Hit after 158 days
Boliden 2025-04-04 · 347 SEK ↑

Hit after 172 days
Volvo 2025-04-01 · 270 SEK ↓

Hit after 2 days
Telia 2025-03-25 · 31 SEK ↓

Missed
Tele2 2025-03-25 · 140 SEK ↑

Hit after 35 days
Boliden 2025-03-18 · 370 SEK ↓

Hit after 1 days
Elekta 2025-01-29 · 69 SEK ↑

Missed
Sandvik 2025-01-07 · 218 SEK ↑

Hit after 16 days
ABB 2025-01-07 · 548.96 SEK ↓

Hit after 79 days
Volvo Cars 2024-10-24 · 24 SEK ↑

Hit after 18 days
Boliden 2024-10-23 · 331 SEK ↓

Hit after 8 days
Elekta 2024-09-12 · 59 SEK ↓

Hit after 168 days
Volvo Cars 2024-09-10 · 28 SEK ↑

Hit after 17 days
Assa Abloy 2024-09-03 · 389 SEK ↑

Missed
Boliden 2024-07-22 · 327 SEK ↑

Hit after 66 days
Volvo Cars 2024-07-10 · 32 SEK ↑

Hit after 1 days
Boliden 2024-07-08 · 342 SEK ↓

Hit after 11 days
Elekta 2024-06-11 · 60 SEK ↓

Hit after 261 days
Assa Abloy 2024-05-08 · 373 SEK ↑

Missed
Essity 2024-04-29 · 306 SEK ↑

Hit after 84 days
Boliden 2024-04-25 · 254 SEK ↓

Missed
Boliden 2024-04-08 · 255 SEK ↓

Missed
Assa Abloy 2024-03-20 · 359 SEK ↑

Missed
Boliden 2024-02-15 · 314 SEK ↑

Hit after 48 days
Volvo Cars 2024-02-02 · 36 SEK ↑

Hit after 6 days
H&M 2024-02-01 · 120 SEK ↓

Missed
Sandvik 2024-01-30 · 222 SEK ↑

Hit after 17 days
Volvo Cars 2024-01-29 · 33 SEK ↑

Hit after 3 days
Volvo Cars 2024-01-09 · 45 SEK ↑

Missed
Boliden 2024-01-08 · 313 SEK ↑

Hit after 86 days
Hexagon 2024-01-04 · 150 SEK ↑

Missed
Sandvik 2023-11-24 · 220 SEK ↑

Hit after 21 days
Assa Abloy 2023-11-14 · 340 SEK ↑

Hit after 314 days
Boliden 2023-10-12 · 327 SEK ↑

Hit after 179 days
H&M 2023-09-28 · 140 SEK ↓

Hit after 130 days

See all 117 evaluated targets since 2021

The arrow shows the target's direction. Both upward and downward targets count as hits. Read about the method